UFC Vegas 110: Garcia vs. Onama Saturday 11/1

IMPORTANT

Predictions DO NOT EQUAL official wagers!!!

ITD = inside the distance, meaning a fighter must win by knockout, submission or disqualification. Listed as double chance on some books.

Last event (UFC 321): -0.41u

2025 YTD: -24.44u

Steve Garcia (-130) vs. David Onama (+110):

In the main event, Steve Garcia and David Onama will meet in a five round featherweight bout. Garcia has won six straight with five of those coming by knockout in the first or second round. He's 7-2 overall in the UFC and coming off a unanimous decision win over Calvin Kattar. Onama has won four in a row and is 6-2 overall in the UFC. He's coming off a unanimous decision win over Giga Chikadze. I don't see this one going the distance as Garcia and Onama are both strikers first and have some durability issues. This can really go either way, but I think Garcia is a bit more technical and Onama's cardio has looked bad at times. I'll go with Garcia by knockout inside the first three rounds.

PREDICTION: Steve Garcia by 3rd RD KO/TKO

Waldo Cortes-Acosta (+110) vs. Ante Delija (-130):

In the co-main event, Waldo Cortes-Acosta faces Ante Delija. Cortes-Acosta is coming off a unanimous decision loss to Sergei Pavlovich that snapped a five fight winning streak. Delija had an impressive UFC debut, knocking out Marcin Tybura just over two minutes into the first round. Cortes-Acosta has strong boxing skills, while Delija has a more well-rounded game. I thought Cortes-Acosta would struggle more with wrestlers, but he has good footwork and shown strong takedown defense. I don't think Delija's wrestling is that great and don't expect him to bum rush Cortes-Acosta like he did Tybura. I see Cortes-Acosta landing that jab over and over en route to a decision win.

PREDICTION: Waldo Cortes-Acosta by DEC

Themba Gorimbo (-140) vs. Jeremiah Wells (+120):

Themba Gorimbo is coming off a first round submission loss via anaconda choke to Vicente Luque that snapped a four fight winning streak. He takes on Jeremiah Wells who has lost two straight after winning his first four fights in the UFC. Those two losses are a split decision to Max Griffin and a third round submission loss to Carlston Harris that he was clearly winning. Gorimbo entered the UFC as a pretty raw product, but has developed into a solid fighter. He's not going to beat the upper tier of the division, but he has the skills to beat a fighter at Wells' level. Gorimbo's biggest strengths are his grappling and pace, but he has some power in his strikes. Wells is an explosive and powerful fighter, but he's getting up there in age and didn't look like his typical self against Griffin. Maybe Wells can catch Gorimbo in a submission early, but the longer the fight goes the more I think it favors Gorimbo. Gorimbo should be able to grind this one out or possibly finishing a tiring Wells late.

PREDICTION: Themba Gorimbo by DEC

Isaac Dulgarian (-265) vs. Yadier del Valle (+215):

Isaac Dulgarian bounced back from his first loss to prospect killer Christian Rodriguez with a second round submission win over Brandon Marotte. Dulgarian is 7-1 overall with six wins in the first round. He faces Yadier del Valle who is undefeated at 9-0 and coming off a first round submission win over Connor Matthews in his UFC debut. Dulgarian is a stud wrestler and although he tired against Rodriguez, I'm not going to hold that against him and honestly it was good for his career. Del Valle is an exciting prospect as well, but dealing with Dulgarian's wrestling early is going to be hell as del Valle doesn't defend takedowns well and loves to jump for the guillotine. Del Valle likely has the striking edge, but he's probably going to spend too much time on his back to make it matter. I'm going with Dulgarian to pick up the first decision win of his career.

PREDICTION: Isaac Dulgarian by DEC

Charles Radtke (-180) vs. Daniel Frunza (+150):

Charles Radtke is coming off a second round knockout loss to Mike Malott and has lost two of his last three, both by knockout. He's 3-2 in the UFC with four of his five fights ending by knockout, three in the first round. He takes on Daniel Frunza who is coming off a first round doctor stoppage loss to Rhys McKee in his UFC debut. Frunza is 9-3 overall with eight wins by knockout. These two are going to be looking to throw down and I don't see this one making it to the scorecards. Radtke has a grappling edge being a Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt, but when he tried to wrestle against Blood Diamond his wrestling didn't look that good anyway. Radtke is the more technically sound striker of the two, but I think I'd favor Frunza the longer this goes. Frunza was dropped three times against McKee, but was actually gaining momentum before his lip and eye were too busted up to continue. I'll go with Radtke to win by knockout inside the first two rounds, but I'm not counting Frunza out.

PREDICTION: Charles Radtke by 1st RD KO

Allan Nascimento (-310) vs. Cody Durden (+250):

Allan Nascimento was originally supposed to face Rafael Estevam, but instead he'll face Cody Durden who is stepping up on short notice. Nascimento returned from a two year layoff in May to defeat Jafel Filho. He has won three straight fights since losing a close split decision to Tagir Ulanbekov in his UFC debut. Durden is coming off a second round knockout loss to Jose Ochoa and has lost four of his last five. He's been finished in five of his six losses in the UFC. Due to the short notice for Durden, this will be a catchweight bout at 130 pounds. Durden is an all action fighter and is in desperate need of a win. He's a better wrestler than Nascimento, but Nascimento is the better submission grappler. On the feet, Nascimento is typically low volume but I believe Durden will drag him into a brawl. Durden knows nothing else but being aggressive and that aggressiveness will lead to his downfall as he finds himself in a submission midway through the fight.

PREDICTION: Allan Nascimento by 2nd RD SUB

Billy Elekana (-270) vs. Kevin Christian (+220):

Billy Elekana picked up his first win in the UFC with an upset unanimous decision win over Ibo Aslan after getting submitted in the second round in his UFC debut by Bogdan Guskov. He'll take on Kevin Christian who will be making his UFC debut after winning by second round armbar on the Contender Series last September. Christian is 9-2 with all his wins by stoppage. Christian will have a four inch height and three inch reach advantage. Elekana's fight with Aslan was terrible and Christian isn't a fighter I'm too excited about. Elekana is a well-rounded fighter, but he doesn't excel anywhere. He lacks volume and power in his striking so he's not likely to pull away in fights or finish opponents at a high rate. Christian is a tall and lanky middleweight, but he's not impressive. He pulled off a triangle choke on the Contender Series, but he's not likely to have a lot of success chasing guard subs at this level. This one is probably going to be pretty ugly and I have a little more faith in Elekana's overall game.

PREDICTION: Billy Elekana by DEC

Timmy Cuamba (-110) vs. Chang Ho Lee (-110):

Timmy Cuamba is coming off a second round knockout of Roberto Romero after losing his first two fights in the UFC. Cuamba will making the drop to bantamweight as he faces Chang Ho Lee who is 2-0 in the UFC and coming off a second round ground and pound stoppage of Cortavious Romious. Cuamba can do a little bit of everything, but he isn't anything special. Lee is an aggressive grappler and likes to fight at a high pace. He's not a great distance striker, but he's aggressive in the clinch. I see Lee coming forward, pressuring Cuamba and putting him on his heels. Lee should be able to score a few takedowns and be aggressive from top control with ground and pound en route to a decision win.

PREDICTION: Chang Ho Lee by DEC

Donte Johnson (-360) vs. Sedriques Dumas (+285):

Donte Johnson will be making a quick turnaround for his UFC debut after picking up a first round knockout in just 64 seconds on the Contender Series. He was originally supposed to take on Nick Klein, but now he'll face Sedriques Dumas. Johnson is undefeated at 6-0 with six first round knockouts. Dumas is coming off a no contest with Zach Reese after suffering a low blow. Prior to that, he was knocked out in the first round by Michal Oleksiejczuk. Johnson fought at 209 pounds on the Contender Series, but will be dropping to middleweight for this fight. Dumas will be the stiffest test of his career, but overall Dumas has been pretty disappointing in the UFC. He'll also be six inches taller than Johnson and have a five inch reach advantage. Dumas has a lot of legal issues outside the cage and because of that I can't trust him to be properly prepared for a fight. With Johnson I have obvious concerns with him if a fight gets extended, but I do think he hurts Dumas early and gets the stoppage because Dumas just covers up and defends poorly once hurt.

PREDICTION: Donte Johnson by 1st RD KO/TKO

Norma Dumont (-175) vs. Ketlen Vieira (+145):

Norma Dumont has won five straight and seven of her last eight since getting knocked out by Megan Anderson in her UFC debut. She'll take on Ketlen Vieira who is coming off a unanimous decision win over Macy Chiasson. Vieira has won four of her last six and is 9-4 overall in the UFC. Both Vieira and Dumont are big for the weight class and both struggle with making weight, especially Dumont who used to fight at featherweight. I'm expecting a ton of clinching in this fight, but Dumont has shown the ability to throw a higher volume of strikes if need be and I think her wrestling is better. A split decision here wouldn't shock me, but I'll go with Dumont.

PREDICTION: Norma Dumont by DEC

Alice Ardelean (-375) vs. Montserrat Ruiz (+295):

Alice Ardelean is coming off a unanimous decision win over Rayanne dos Santos after losing her first two fights in the UFC. She faces Montserrat "Conejo" Ruiz who hasn't fought in two years and has lost three straight all by finish. It's pretty shocking to see Ardelean as the biggest favorite on the card, but Ruiz is one of the worst fighters on the UFC roster and honestly thought she had been released. Ardelean isn't anything special either, but she should be a lot more physical than Ruiz and be able to avoid the head and arm throw that Ruiz loves. However, this is low level WMMA so anything is on the table. Ardelean should be able to keep this fight upright and beat Ruiz up on the feet.

PREDICTION: Alice Ardelean by DEC

Seok Hyeon Ko (-180) vs. Philip Rowe (+150):

Seok Hyeon Ko had an impressive UFC debut with a dominant unanimous decision win over Oban Elliott. He's 12-2 with six wins by knockout and six by decision. He'll take on Phil Rowe who is coming off a third round knockout of Ange Loosa that snapped a two fight losing streak. Rowe is going to have a five inch height and nine inch reach advantage over Ko. The problem is Rowe has pretty poor takedown defense that makes him rely on coming from behind to finish opponents. He was able to do that against Loosa, but fell short against Jake Matthews and Neil Magny. Ko has a strong judo base and the cardio to hold off a late charge from Rowe.

PREDICTION: Seok Hyeon Ko by DEC

Talita Alencar (-205) vs. Ariane Carnelossi (+170):

In the opening prelim, Talita Alencar faces Ariane Carnelossi in a women's strawweight bout. Alencar is coming off a unanimous decision win over Vanessa Demopoulos and has won two of three since joining the UFC. Carnelossi is coming off a disqualification win over Piera Rodriguez after Rodriguez inexplicably headbutted her. Carnelossi is 3-2 in the UFC with her other two wins coming by finish. Alencar had success with her wrestling against Demopoulos, but Demopoulos' defensive wrestling is almost nonexistent, while Carnelossi is a strong and physical fighter. However, Carnelossi's takedown defense is pretty bad as well. Alencar should be able to use Carnelossi's aggression against her to score takedowns and find a submission inside the first two rounds.

PREDICTION: Talita Alencar by 1st RD SUB

UFC VEGAS 110 TICKET

SATURDAY NOVEMBER 1ST

MAIN CARD:

Steve Garcia -130 (0.65u)

Waldo Cortes-Acosta +110 (0.5u)

Cortes-Acosta DEC +240 (0.2u)

Themba Gorimbo -140 (1.05u)

Gorimbo RD3 +1000 (0.1u)

Isaac Dulgarian/Talita Alencar +105 (1u)

Dulgarian DEC +240 (0.2u)

Charles Radtke ITD +120 (0.5u)

Allan Nascimento ITD +120 (0.5u)

PRELIMS:

Chang Ho Lee -110 (1.1u)

Lee DEC +250 (0.3u)

Seok Hyeon Ko DEC +140 (0.5u)

Talita Alencar SUB +350 (0.3u)