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NFL Props: Sunday Week 18

Came back down to earth yesterday with a 1-2 day.


Clarkson ending on the hook was beyond painful, while the Mckinnon play was truly piss.


Can't dwell on the past, got my top 3 plays for NFL Sunday, let's end the season strong!

 
DESHAUN WATSON OV 207.5 PASSING YARDS (-110) | 1U FANDUEL
  • I KNOW SOME WILL SAY, THERE IS NO WAY I’M BETTING ON THIS BUM ASS WEIRDO DESHAUN WATSON, AND I COMPLETELY GET THAT. I DO

  • BUT CAN WE ADMIT THE GUY HAS PLAYED IN SOME TRULY AWFUL CONDITIONS FOR PRODUCTION TO START THE YEAR

  • 1ST GAME WAS @ HOUSTON IN HIS FIRST START SINCE 2020, THEN HE PLAYS BALTIMORE IN THE FREEZING COLD AND THE RAVENS RUN THE CLOCK THE ENTIRE GAME

  • THEN HE PLAYS THE SAINTS AND IT’S A FULL BLOWN BLIZZARD

  • AND THEN FINALLY HE PLAYS THE COMMANDERS AND WITH CARSON WENTZ GIFTING TURNOVERS THEY HAD BEAUTIFUL FIELD POSITION AND THREW JUST 18 TIMES IN A BLOWOUT

  • BUT WHAT WAS NOTABLE TO ME WAS THE 9.38 Y/A AND 4 PASSES OF 20+ YARDS. W/ MORE ATTEMPTS HE WOULD’VE FLOWN OVER VS WASHINGTON

  • NOW HE’S PLAYING THE STEELERS AND THEY HAVE DONE A GREAT JOB OF KEEPING CHUBB IN CHECK HOLDING HIM TO LESS THAN 72 YPG ON AVG IN HIS CAREER

  • THERE IS NO REASON TO FORCE FEED THE GUY AND IN FACT I READ THAT JEROME FORD MAY BE IN LINE FOR MORE LOOKS IN THIS GAME

  • AND I THINK THE STEELERS PASS DEFENSE IS OVERVALUED RIGHT NOW DUE TO THE FACT THAT THEY HAVE PLAYED SOME SERIOUSLY LACKLUSTER QBS LATELY

  • THE L6 QBS THEY FACED? HUNTLEY, CARR, DARNOLD, HUNTLEY, MARIOTA, AND MATT RYAN

  • SO HOW HAVE QBS WITH TALENT DONE AGAINST THEM? BURROW HAD 330+ TWICE, ALLEN HAD 424, HURTS HAD 285, AND TUA HAD 261

  • THE GAME TOTAL STARTED AT 39 ON MOST BOOKS AND MOVED TO 40.5 DESPITE MOST OF THE MONEY ON THE UNDER, I THINK WATSON GET’S GOING HERE AND WE’RE GETTING A HUGE DISCOUNT BASED ON HIS CAREER NUMBERS

  • WOULD PLAY TO 211.5 FOR 1U

 
CAM AKERS OV 72.5 RUSH YARDS (-115) | 1U BETMGM
  • THE RAMS HAVE MADE IT ABUNDANTLY CLEAR THAT THEY PLAN ON POUNDING THE ROCK WITH CAM AKERS NO MATTER WHAT W/ ALL THE INJURIES THEY HAVE AND THAT’S LEADING TO BIG PRODUCTION

  • OBVIOUSLY, IN THE BLOWOUT WIN AGAINST THE BRONCOS, HE GOT FED, BUT EVEN IN A BLOWOUT LOSS TO THE LOS ANGELES CHARGERS, AKERS HAD 19 ATTEMPTS

  • AS A RESULT, HE’S COMING OFF TWO STRAIGHT 118+ YARD PERFORMANCES AND I TRULY THINK HE CAN MAKE IT 3 TODAY

  • SO HOW HAVE RUNNINGBACKS DONE W/ SIMILAR VOLUME VS SEATTLE?

  • WELL W/ 17+ RUSH ATTEMPTS VS SEATTLE, RBS ARE 8-2 TO THE OVER (AVG 106.5)

  • AND IN AKERS’ 6 REGULAR SZN GAMES W/ 17+ ATTEMPTS, HE IS 4-2 TO THE OVER (AVG 96.3)

  • YES ONE COULD LOOK AT THIS AS A PLAYOFF GAME FOR SEATTLE, BUT THIS ALSO MAY BE THE LAST GAME MCVAY COACHES IN THE NFL

  • I THINK HIS TEAM PULLS TOGETHER FOR HIM HERE AND POSSIBLY EVEN PLAYS SPOILER W/ AKERS LEADING THE WAY ON THE GROUND

  • WOULD PLAY TO 75.5 FOR 1U

 
TERRY MCLAURIN UNDER 49.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-110) | .75U FANDUEL
  • SCARY TERRY IS A DAWG AND ONE OF THE BEST RECEIVERS IN FOOTBALL BUT SIMPLY PUT, THERE IS WAY TOO MUCH WORKING AGAINST HIM TO HIT THIS LINE AGAINST DALLAS

  • FIRST OFF SAM HOWELL IS AT QB, I DON’T REMOTELY TRUST THIS KID BEHIND THE COMMANDERS HORRIBLE OFFENSIVE LINE AGAINST THE DALLAS PASS RUSH

  • AND WHILE YOU MAY SEE THE COMMANDERS AS 7-POINT DOGS AND ARGUE THAT THE COMMANDERS WILL HAVE TO PASS A LOT, DOES IT EVEN MATTER?

  • THE COMMANDERS HAVE LOST 3 STRAIGHT AGAINST DALLAS BY AN AVG OF 21 POINTS AND GUESS WHAT TERRY HAS PUT UP IN THAT SPAN?

  • 0, 40, AND 15 RECEIVING YARDS FOR AN AVG OF 18.33

  • NOW W/ SAM HOWELL AT QB WE EXPECT HIM TO IMPROVE UPON THESE NUMBERS?

  • TREVON DIGGS SHUTS DOWN STARS RECEIVERS, SIMPLY PUT. W/ THE EXCEPTION OF AJ BROWN IN A GAME WHERE HE WAS SICK HE HELD THE GROUP OF CHASE, MCLAURIN, JEFFERSON, PITTMAN, AND ST-BROWN TO AN AVG OF JUST 24.4 REC YARDS AND JUST ONE HIT THIS TOTAL

  • THANKFULLY FOR US, THE EAGLES PLAY AT THE SAME TIME AS THE COWBOYS, SO DALLAS WILL LIKELY PLAY THEIR STARTERS FOR THE MAJORITY OR ENTIRETY OF THE GAME

  • AND WHEN DISCUSSING IT THIS WEEK, IT SEEMS RON WILL CONSIDER RESTING STARTERS IF THIS GETS OUT OF HAND WHICH I THINK IT WILL

  • THIS LINE MOVED A WHOLE 6 YARDS ON MOST BOOKS WHICH IS ANNOYING CUZ I POSTED AT 54.5 FOR 1 UNIT, BUT I WOULD STILL HAPPILY PLAY 49.5 AT .75U

 
BEAVER'S PLAYS

DESHAUN WATSON OV 207.5 PASSING YARDS (-110) | 1U FANDUEL

CAM AKERS OV 72.5 RUSH YARDS (-115) | 1U BETMGM

TERRY MCLAURIN UN 49.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-110) | .75U FANDUEL

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