NFL Props: Saturday 1/7

Fellas... we just CAUGHT A BODY on last night's NBA slate. +4.44 units hopefully helps make up for the last two days being weak.

Let's bring that momentum to the gridiron today!

JUST ADDED A 2ND PLAY, WILL UPDATE ON THE COMMUNITY PAGE!

AS MOST OF YOU KNOW, IT’S BEEN A TOUGH YEAR ON THE GRIDIRON, BUT IF THERE’S ONE THING THAT CONSISTENTLY MADE US MONEY, IT’S BETTING ON THIS TITANS RUSH DEFENSE
A TITANS RUSH D THAT HASN’T ALLOWED AN RB TO HIT THIS TOTAL SINCE WEEK 3!
THAT RB WAS JOSH JACOBS, THE BEST RB IN FOOTBALL, AND HE MISSED BY THE HOOK
OVER THE L14 GAMES THE TITANS HAVE ALLOWED 54.9 RUSH YPG AND 2.9 YPC, BOTH 1ST IN THE LEAGUE BY A MILE
AND BECAUSE OF THAT, OPPONENTS HAVE ALSO ATTEMPTED THE 3RD FEWEST RUSHES AGAINST TENNESSEE
WE ALREADY SAW ETIENNE STRUGGLE IMMENSELY AGAINST THIS TITANS FRONT RECEIVING 17 CARRIES FOR JUST 32 YARDS (1.88 YPC)
AND IT’S NOT ALL ON HIM, LOOK AT THE ADJ LINE YARDS FOR JACKSONVILLE OFFENSIVELY
THEY’RE THE 5TH WORST IN FOOTBALL! ETIENNE HAS BEEN OVERCOMPENSATING ALL YEAR, BUT THAT FRONT CREATES VERY LITTLE PUSH
WELL GUESS WHO CREATES THE MOST PUSH DEFENSIVELY? THE TITANS
NOW KEY DEFENSIVE GUYS LIKE SIMMONS, AUTRY, AND COLE ARE ALL RETURNING FOR THIS ALREADY INSANE TITANS FRONT AND IT’S A PLAYOFF GAME ESSENTIALLY!
IF THE TITANS DIDN’T TURN THE BALL OVER 4 TIMES IN THEIR PREVIOUS MATCHUP, I THINK THEY’D RULE THE TIME OF POSSESSION GAME, AND I THINK THEY GET BACK TO THAT HERE
THERE’S A REASON BOOKS HAVE THIS AT 65.5 AFTER 3 STRAIGHT 83+ YARD PERFORMANCES... I'M RIDING W/ VRABEL

MCKINNON HAS REALLY STARTED TO ESTABLISH HIMSELF AS YET ANOTHER LETHAL THREAT FOR PATRICK MAHOMES, AND NOW HE HAS HIS BEST MATCHUP YET
THE RAIDERS ALLOW THE MOST YD/G, 4TH MOST PA/G, AND SIT 31ST IN DVOA AGAINST OPPOSING RBS THRU THE AIR
HOW HAVE OTHER PASS-CATCHING BACKS FARED VS THE RAIDERS?
MCCAFFREY 72, EKELER 67, KAMARA 96
AND NOT ONLY ARE THOSE GUYS CASHING THIS TOTAL BUT NAJEE HARRIS HAD 42, MELVIN GORDON HAD 39, DARE OGUNBOWALE HAD 54, AND DERRICK HENRY HAD 58!
YOU GET THE POINT, AND WITH THE RAIDERS PASS RUSH FINALLY REACHING ITS POTENTIAL OVER THE L5 WEEKS, I THINK THERE MAY BE SOME DUMP-OFFS HERE
MCKINNON IS A GUY WHO’S CASHED HIS L3/4 GAMES (AVG 66.2) AND IS 3RD ON THE TEAM IN TARGETS DURING THAT SPAN AVG 6.5 PER GAME!
AND WHAT I’M INTRIGUED BY IS THE L2 ROAD GAMES. IN THOSE GAMES MCKINNON HAD 17 COMBINED TARGETS AND CONVERTED THAT INTO 15 RECEPTIONS FOR 182 YARDS!
THERE IS A REASON OTHER BOOKS HAVE MOVED THIS TO 36.5 AND I TRULY DON’T MIND IT THERE
MCKINNON’S RECEPTIONS TOTAL IS ONLY AVAILABLE ON FD AND PB AND THE OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS IS VIGGED TO (-136)
WELL W/ 4 OR MORE RECEPTIONS, MCKINNON IS 5-0 TO THE LINE (AVG 66) AND AFTER GOING UNDER IN THEIR PREVIOUS MATCHUP, I CAN’T SEE IT HAPPENING IN 2 STRAIGHT
WOULD PLAY THIS 36.5 AT 1U

Kyle Kirms