NFL Playoff Picks Cowboys vs Buccaneers Monday 1/16
1 final NFL game on Wildcard weekend... and honestly... they may have saved the best for last.
COWBOYS @ BUCCANEERS 8:15 PM
SAUCE SAYS
COWBOYS -2.5
There's A LOT of money in on Tampa Bay here... and although the books did drop this off of 3 down to 2.5 early in the week... odds for Cowboys -2.5 are still at -115/-120 on some books. Which means they are much closer to moving this line back to 3 than they are dropping it down to 2.
That being said... if you notice.. a lot of sharps got their money down on Tampa +3... now that the line dropped to 2.5... it looks like the money is starting to even out.
On a football angle... Dallas is the overall better team... but not by much. Dallas' defense has disappeared the 2nd half of the season... in fact.. in the last 5 weeks, the Cowboys pass defense is ranked just 26th in DVOA. But, nothing sparks a bigger 180 turn-around like an embarrassing loss. And that's what we just saw from Dallas last week... Commanders smacked the sh*t outta the Cowboys. I think that's exactly what this team needed.
And if you take a step back and look at it... this entire narrative is just the opposite than the previous Dak Prescott playoff years. This time... I'd say the majority of the public is doubting them. I'm seeing "Bucs ML" everywhere. People think 32 year old Tom Brady is just gonna waltz out of the tunnel.
I could see Tampa catching people off-guard and coming out running the ball to Fournette and White... and if this was Rod Marinelli's Cowboys defense... I'd say it's definitely gonna work. But, Dan Quinn has shown us he can be innovative. I don't think Byron Leftwich out-coaches Quinn.
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JANUARY 16
DAL -2.5 (-110) | 1.5u
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SIDE BETS
JANUARY 16
OVER 45.5 (-110)
GALLUP ANYTIME TD (+280)
GALLUP Ov36.5 REC YD (-105)
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SAME GAME PARLAY
JANUARY 16
