NBA Props: Tuesday 1/3
Good afternoon my sisters and brethren.
Kyle gave me the privilege to start posting some of my free prop plays on the site for those who don't have a Twitter account. I'm no Prop God or rolling in riches, but we snagged +22 Units in NBA last year and we're slightly green this year at +2.85u.
My goal is to do everything in my power to inform you of all the best edges in the market and help us make some dough! Here's my only play so far today
LAURI MARKKANEN OVER 25.5 POINTS (-105) | 1U BETMGM
MANY OF YOU WILL LOOK AT THIS LARGE LINE AND THE NAME “LAURI MARKKANEN” AND SAY GET THE HELL OUT OF HERE
BUT LAURI HAS WELL EARNED THIS LINE AND WHAT HE’S DOING RIGHT NOW OVER HIS L6 GAMES IS NOTHING SHORT OF INSANE
HE’S AVERAGING 30.8 PPG ON 18.8 FGA DURING THIS SPAN AND NOW FACES A KINGS TEAM THAT HE JUST DROPPED 36 ON
THE KINGS HAVE BEEN SKETCHY DEFENSIVELY OVER THE L2W SITTING 26TH IN DEFENSIVE EFFICIENCY, AND ON TOP OF THAT, THEY SPECIFICALLY CAN’T GUARD FORWARDS
SAC IS ALLOWING BY FAR THE MOST PPG, 3RD HIGHEST FG%, AND 4TH MOST 3PM TO SF OVER THE L30 DAYS AND IT’S EVEN WORSE OVER THE L2W
I SAID EARLIER MARKKANEN IS AVG 18+ FGA DURING HIS HOT STREAK SO HOW HAVE FORWARDS DONE AGAINST THE KINGS W/ 18+ FIELD GOAL ATTEMPTS?
WELL THEY ARE JUST 12-2 THE OVER (AVG 30.2 PPG)
ULTIMATELY, IF YOU’RE GONNA GIVE ME THE WORST DEFENSE VS SF AGAINST A MAN WHO CAN’T MISS RIGHT NOW, THEN I’LL TAKE MY CHANCES W/ HIS OVER