NBA Props: Sunday 1/8
Tons of injury questions on today's slate which sucks, but I have two plays I'm firmly on this evening. Let's get back to greens
WILL UPDATE IN THE COMMUNITY PAGE IF I ADD ANY OTHERS!
JOSH HART OV 7.5 REBOUNDS (-135) | 1U DRAFTKINGS
I LOOKED TO TAKE NURKIC’S OVER HERE, BUT THE MAN SIMPLY DOESN’T GRAB BOARDS ON THE ROAD
BUT GUESS WHO DOES? JOSH HART, A MAN WHO IS PERENNIAL ALL-EFFORT 1ST TEAM.
AND EFFORT IS WHAT WE NEED BECAUSE BESIDES A LITTLE BIT OF LUCK, REBOUNDING IS A HUSTLE STAT
THAT’S GREAT BECAUSE HART NOW GETS TO FACE THE RAPTORS WHO ARE BRICK CITY AT THIS POINT W/ FVV LEADING THE CHARGE
AS A RESULT, THE RAPTORS ARE ALLOWING THE MOST RBG TO OPPONENTS AT HOME OVER THEIR L10
AND WE’VE SEEN THE L10/14 FORWARDS TO FACE THE RAPTORS CASH THEIR TOTAL
HART HAS CASHED HIS L6/9 GAMES (AVG 9.7) AND HE’S AVERAGING 33 MINS OVER HIS L10
W/ 32+ MINS HE’S CASHED HIS L7/9 OVERALL (AVG 8.7) AND W/ 33+ ON THE ROAD HART HAS CASHED HIS L10/14 (AVG 9.5)
IN HART’S LONE DAY GAME THIS SZN WE SAW HIM GRAB 16 BOARDS AND WE KNOW THAT DAY GAMES TEND TO HAVE MORE MISSED SHOTS
HART GRABBED 7 BOARDS IN HIS LAST GAME AGAINST TORONTO AND ONLY PLAYED 26 MINS, W/ THE MINS HE’S SEEING THIS SZN, I THINK HE CASHES THE TOTAL AND POTENTIALLY GRABS A DOUBLE DOUBLE HERE
JOHN COLLINS OVER 15.5 POINTS (-102) | 1U FANDUEL
AFTER A HORRENDOUS START TO THE SEASON, COLLINS APPEARS TO FINALLY BE BACK CASHING HIS L5/6 (AVG 19.5) AND I LOVE THE SPOT FOR HIM AGAINST THE CLIPPERS HERE
THE CLIPPERS ARE A VERY STOUT DEFENSE OVERALL, BUT OPPOSING BIGS ARE DOING WHATEVER THEY WANT AGAINST THEM
AND PF SPECIFICALLY HAS BEEN A CONSISTENT STRUGGLE ALL SZN FOR THEM
ON THE SZN THEY ALLOW THE 5TH MOST PPG TO PF, BUT OVER THE L30 DAYS THEY’RE ALLOWING THE 7TH MOST PPG, AND OVER THE L2W THAT JUMPS TO 2ND MOST PPG AND 2ND HIGHEST FG%
IN HIS LAST 6 GAMES COLLINS IS BACK TO HIS 18.3% USAGE FROM LAST SZN AND IS STARTING TO SEE SOME HEAVY MINUTES AVG 39.2 OVER HIS L3 GAMES
W/ 35+ MINS HE IS 6-2 TO THE OVER THIS SZN (AVG 18.1) AND HIS L10/12 GOING BACK TO LAST SZN (AVG 20.4)
THE ICING ON THE CAKE? CAPELA IS OUT. AND W/O CAPELA, COLLINS BECOMES TRAE’S MAIN PICK-AND-ROLL GUY
THAT’S QUITE A VALUABLE ROLE AND W/ JUST 30+ MINUTES W/O CAPELA GOING BACK TO LAST SEASON, COLLINS IS 10-2 TO THE OVER (AVG 18.2 PPG)
THE FACT THAT A CLIPPERS GAME HAS A TOTAL THIS HIGH, TELLS ME THAT POINTS WILL BE SCORED
AND COLLINS HAS ALREADY CASHED THE MARK IN HIS L3/4 VS THE CLIPPERS W/O CAPELA (AVG 20.5) AND CONSIDERING HE WENT UNDER LAST TIME, I THINK HE’S DUE TO CORRECT HIS COURSE HERE
Josh Hart ✔️