NBA Props: Monday 1/9

What's up chiefs! Coming off a 3-2 day yesterday overall,

Let's continue racking up the units w/ my top 3 plays for today

WILL UPDATE IN THE COMMUNITY PAGE IF I ADD ANY OTHERS!

DEROZAN IS A MID-RANGE KILLER, WE ALL KNOW THAT, AND WHILE HE HASN’T EXACTLY SHOT THE BALL UP TO HIS STANDARDS LATELY, THIS IS THE PERFECT MATCHUP FOR HIM
ON THE SEASON THE CELTICS ARE 29TH IN DEFENSIVE MID RANGE FREQUENCY AND 26TH IN EFFICIENCY
AS A RESULT IN 3 MATCHUPS THIS SZN, DEROZAN IS 2-1 TO THE OVER (AVG 37.7)
BUT I MORE SPECIFICALLY WANT TO LOOK AT HIM ON THE ROAD WHERE HE’S BEEN LETHAL
BECAUSE IN HIS L5 VISITS TO BOSTON, DEROZAN IS 4-1 TO THE OVER (AVG 39.8) AND HIS LONE MISS CAME BY THE HOOK
ON THE ROAD THIS SZN, DEROZAN IS 14-6 TO THE OVER (AVG 33.9) AND IT ONLY GETS BETTER FOR DEROZAN AS THE CELTICS HAVE ACTUALLY STRUGGLED TO GUARD SF LATELY
OVER THE L30 DAYS THEY’RE ALLOWING THE 3RD MOST PPG AND 3RD HIGHEST FG% TO SF
I’M MAKING THIS A COMBO PLAY W/ ASSIST AS IT INCREASES HIS HIT RATE ON THE ROAD AND HE HAS GREAT HISTORY PASSING VS BOSTON
AND W/ THIS TOTAL SET AT AN UNHOLY 238, I LIKE HIM TO CONTINUE TO BALL OUT AGAINST THEM TODAY

THIS IS A PRETTY SIMPLE ONE, BET OPPOSING CENTERS VS THE WIZARDS NO MATTER WHAT
THEY'RE GETTING DEMOLISHED BY THEM OVER THE L30 DAYS ALLOWING THE 2ND MOST PPG AND HERE ARE SOME RECENT EXAMPLES OF CENTERS P+R NUMBERS AGAINST THEM
LOPEZ W/ 33, AYTON W/ BOTH 38 AND 43, KESSLER W/ 26, BRYANT W/ 26, EMBIID W/ 58, AND JOKIC W/ 57
MEANWHILE, W/O ZION AND BI, VALANCIUNAS HAS AVG'D 28+ MINS OVER HIS L7 GAMES
W/O THE DUO AND 26+ MINS HE'S 4-1 TO THE OVER THIS SZN (AVG 30.4) AND 18-4 TO THE OVER GOING BACK TO LAST SZN (AVG 33.3)
IN VALANCIUNAS L4 GAMES AGAINST THE WIZARDS HE'S HAD 32, 25, 49, AND 27 P+R AND THIS COULD BE THE WORST DEFENSIVELY THE WIZARDS HAVE LOOKED AS A FRONTCOURT DURING THAT SPAN
I GOT THIS AT 26.5 ON TWITTER, BUT SINCE IT MOVED, I'LL BUMP IT DOWN TO .75U AT THE +MONEY WE ARE GETTING

BANCHERO IS ON A GOD DAMN HEATER HITTING 3 STRAIGHT GAMES AND AVG 26.7 PPG
HE’S NOW SET TO FACE A KINGS TEAM THAT I THINK IS A BEAUTIFUL MATCHUP FOR HIM AND IT SHOWED IN HIS 33-POINT PERFORMANCE AGAINST THEM EARLIER IN THE SZN
SEE THE KINGS DEFENSE OVER THE L30 DAYS ARE NOT ONLY 28TH AND 22ND, RESPECTIVELY, IN RIM AND MID EFFICIENCY, BUT THEY’RE 24TH AND 22ND IN FREQUENCY
THE KINGS HAVE COMMITTED TO STOPPING THE 3 BALL AND WHILE THAT MIGHT EFFECT HIS TEAMMATES, THIS IS EXACTLY WHAT BANCHERO WANTS AS 78% OF HIS SHOTS COME AT THE RIM AND FROM MID RANGE
EVEN BETTER FOR BANCHERO, THE KINGS ARE 28TH IN DEF FT RATE OVER THE L30 DAYS AND WE KNOW HOW AGGRESSIVE HE IS AT GETTING TO THE LINE
BANCHERO HAS HAD 17+ FIELD GOAL ATTEMPTS IN 4 STRAIGHT (AVG 20) AND FORWARDS VS THE KINGS W/ 17+ FGA HAVE CASHED 7 STRAIGHT (AVG 31.2) AND ARE 18-2 ON THE SZN TO THE OVER
I THINK BANCHERO CONTINUES TO LEAD THE CHARGE HERE AND CASHES THE NUMBER
WOULD PLAY 22.5 AT .5U

Kyle Kirms