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NBA Props: Monday 1/9

What's up chiefs! Coming off a 3-2 day yesterday overall,


Let's continue racking up the units w/ my top 3 plays for today


WILL UPDATE IN THE COMMUNITY PAGE IF I ADD ANY OTHERS!

 
DEMAR DEROZAN OV 30.5 PTS+AST (-115) | 1U BET365
  • DEROZAN IS A MID-RANGE KILLER, WE ALL KNOW THAT, AND WHILE HE HASN’T EXACTLY SHOT THE BALL UP TO HIS STANDARDS LATELY, THIS IS THE PERFECT MATCHUP FOR HIM

  • ON THE SEASON THE CELTICS ARE 29TH IN DEFENSIVE MID RANGE FREQUENCY AND 26TH IN EFFICIENCY

  • AS A RESULT IN 3 MATCHUPS THIS SZN, DEROZAN IS 2-1 TO THE OVER (AVG 37.7)

  • BUT I MORE SPECIFICALLY WANT TO LOOK AT HIM ON THE ROAD WHERE HE’S BEEN LETHAL

  • BECAUSE IN HIS L5 VISITS TO BOSTON, DEROZAN IS 4-1 TO THE OVER (AVG 39.8) AND HIS LONE MISS CAME BY THE HOOK

  • ON THE ROAD THIS SZN, DEROZAN IS 14-6 TO THE OVER (AVG 33.9) AND IT ONLY GETS BETTER FOR DEROZAN AS THE CELTICS HAVE ACTUALLY STRUGGLED TO GUARD SF LATELY

  • OVER THE L30 DAYS THEY’RE ALLOWING THE 3RD MOST PPG AND 3RD HIGHEST FG% TO SF

  • I’M MAKING THIS A COMBO PLAY W/ ASSIST AS IT INCREASES HIS HIT RATE ON THE ROAD AND HE HAS GREAT HISTORY PASSING VS BOSTON

  • AND W/ THIS TOTAL SET AT AN UNHOLY 238, I LIKE HIM TO CONTINUE TO BALL OUT AGAINST THEM TODAY

 
VALANCIUNAS OV 27.5 PTS+REBS (+100) | POINTSBET .75U
  • THIS IS A PRETTY SIMPLE ONE, BET OPPOSING CENTERS VS THE WIZARDS NO MATTER WHAT

  • THEY'RE GETTING DEMOLISHED BY THEM OVER THE L30 DAYS ALLOWING THE 2ND MOST PPG AND HERE ARE SOME RECENT EXAMPLES OF CENTERS P+R NUMBERS AGAINST THEM

  • LOPEZ W/ 33, AYTON W/ BOTH 38 AND 43, KESSLER W/ 26, BRYANT W/ 26, EMBIID W/ 58, AND JOKIC W/ 57

  • MEANWHILE, W/O ZION AND BI, VALANCIUNAS HAS AVG'D 28+ MINS OVER HIS L7 GAMES

  • W/O THE DUO AND 26+ MINS HE'S 4-1 TO THE OVER THIS SZN (AVG 30.4) AND 18-4 TO THE OVER GOING BACK TO LAST SZN (AVG 33.3)

  • IN VALANCIUNAS L4 GAMES AGAINST THE WIZARDS HE'S HAD 32, 25, 49, AND 27 P+R AND THIS COULD BE THE WORST DEFENSIVELY THE WIZARDS HAVE LOOKED AS A FRONTCOURT DURING THAT SPAN

  • I GOT THIS AT 26.5 ON TWITTER, BUT SINCE IT MOVED, I'LL BUMP IT DOWN TO .75U AT THE +MONEY WE ARE GETTING

 
PAOLO BANCHERO OV 21.5 POINTS (-115) | 1U BETMGM
  • BANCHERO IS ON A GOD DAMN HEATER HITTING 3 STRAIGHT GAMES AND AVG 26.7 PPG

  • HE’S NOW SET TO FACE A KINGS TEAM THAT I THINK IS A BEAUTIFUL MATCHUP FOR HIM AND IT SHOWED IN HIS 33-POINT PERFORMANCE AGAINST THEM EARLIER IN THE SZN

  • SEE THE KINGS DEFENSE OVER THE L30 DAYS ARE NOT ONLY 28TH AND 22ND, RESPECTIVELY, IN RIM AND MID EFFICIENCY, BUT THEY’RE 24TH AND 22ND IN FREQUENCY

  • THE KINGS HAVE COMMITTED TO STOPPING THE 3 BALL AND WHILE THAT MIGHT EFFECT HIS TEAMMATES, THIS IS EXACTLY WHAT BANCHERO WANTS AS 78% OF HIS SHOTS COME AT THE RIM AND FROM MID RANGE

  • EVEN BETTER FOR BANCHERO, THE KINGS ARE 28TH IN DEF FT RATE OVER THE L30 DAYS AND WE KNOW HOW AGGRESSIVE HE IS AT GETTING TO THE LINE

  • BANCHERO HAS HAD 17+ FIELD GOAL ATTEMPTS IN 4 STRAIGHT (AVG 20) AND FORWARDS VS THE KINGS W/ 17+ FGA HAVE CASHED 7 STRAIGHT (AVG 31.2) AND ARE 18-2 ON THE SZN TO THE OVER

  • I THINK BANCHERO CONTINUES TO LEAD THE CHARGE HERE AND CASHES THE NUMBER

  • WOULD PLAY 22.5 AT .5U

 
BEAVER'S PLAYS

DEMAR DEROZAN OV 30.5 PTS+AST (-115) | 1U BET365

VALANCIUNAS OV 27.5 PTS+REBS (+100) | POINTSBET .75U

PAOLO BANCHERO OV 21.5 POINTS (-115) | 1U BETMGM

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4 comentarios


Banchero has some work to do in the 2nd half

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AJ Bascone
AJ Bascone
10 ene 2023
Contestando a

Yeah I know, I don’t know why the guy isn’t shooting the ball. Wildly frustrating 🤣 Our only saving grace is the fact that he could go on a tear at any moment Remember when we took his under against Memphis and lost? He only had 8 at half and had 22 by 4 mins into the 3rd. Praying for a repeat

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SheerFinesse
SheerFinesse
09 ene 2023

Let’s ride!!

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Nice beaver great day yesterday! Riding still

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