MLB Morning Free Plays June 16th

Came out on top by just a little last night. Toast has some free plays this morning for us.


 


Game 1: A’S VS RED SOX

(OAK) PAUL BLACKBURN RHP

-SMALL SAMPLE SIZE, BUT BAD NUMBERS VS RED SOX CURRENT LINEUP: .479 OBP, .1021 OPS, 11.7 K%

-ONLY START VS BOS EARLIER THIS SEASON AT HOME: 4IP, 7H, 4ER, 2 BB, 3K

-DESPITE BEING AT THE BIGGEST PITCHERS PARK IN ALL OF THE MLB, HE’S BEEN INSANELY GOOD ON THE ROAD, NOT SO MUCH AT HOME

-THROUGH 7 RD STARTS (TOR/TB/SF/DET/LAA/SEA/CLE): 0.91 ERA, .492 OPS, .225 WOBA, 0 HR/9, 0.91 WHIP, .230 BABIP

-5/9 OF LINEUP ARE LHB, 4/9 ARE RHB

-WORSE VS LHB: .302 OBP, .680 OPS, .298 WOBA, 0.57 HR/9, 1.23 WHIP, .293 BABIP

-OAK VS LHP (JUNE): 28TH OBP, 19TH OPS, WOBA, 16TH WRC+, 20TH K%, BB%

-L7 STARTING LHP VS ATHLETICS: 3.4 ERA, 1.06 WHIP


(BOS) RICH HILL LHP

-RICH HILL HAS EXCELLENT NUMBERS VS CURRENT LINEUP: .232 OBP, .504 OPS, 20.4 K%

-1.5 ERA, 0.77 WHIP, 28.8 K% IN L3 STARTS VS OAK

-BUT THE BAD NEWS? THIS DUDE IS HORRENDOUS AT HOME

-THROUGH 4 HOME STARTS (BAL/SEA/LAA/MIN): 8.04 ERA, .375 OBP, 1.021 OPS, .433 WOBA, 2.87 HR/9, 1.66 WHIP, .333 BABIP

-8/9 OF OAK LINEUP TO BE RHB

-VS RHB: .314 OBP, .789 OPS, .342 WOBA, 1.33 HR/9, 17.4 K%, 5.8 BB%, 1.28 WHIP, .290 BABIP

-BOS VS RHP (JUNE): 9TH OBP, OPS, 10TH WOBA, 11TH WRC+, 11TH K%, 20TH BB%

-L8 STARTING RHP VS BOS: 5.09 ERA, 1.55 WHIP


Oakland F5 ML (+130)

Oakland F5 TT over 2.5 (+130)

I really like to back Blackburn at a + price. Beaver likes the matchup with the Oakland bats as well.


 


(CHC) MATT SWARMER RHP

-THROUGH 3 STARTS (NYY/STL/MIL): 4.24 ERA, .250 OBP, .912 OPS, 4.76 HR/9, .122 BABIP, 22.1 K%, 4.4 BB%, 1.00 WHIP

-FIRST 2 HOME STARTS WE QUITE DAMN GOOD: 1.5 ERA, .217 OBP, .636 OPS, .274 WOBA, 2.25 HR/9, 23.9 K%, 6.5 BB%, 0.83 WHIP, .138 BABIP

-BUT GOT ABSOLUTELY SHELLED BY THE YANKEES: 5IP, 6ER, 6HR, 0BB, 4K

-DOES HE RETURN BACK TO FORM AT HOME?

-5/9 LHB, 4/9 RHB IN PADRES LINEUP

-QUITE GOOD VS LHB, BUT GETTING ABSOLUTELY SHELLED BY RHB

-.324 OBP, .1.148 OPS, .475 WOBA, 6.48 HR/9, 16.2 K%, 8.1 BB%, 1.44 WHIP, .136 BABIP

-SDP VS RHP (JUNE): 8TH OBP, 6TH OPS, WOBA, 7TH WRC+, 9TH K%, 10TH BB%

-L9 STARTING RHP VS SDP: 6.22 ERA, 1.55 WHIP


Padres TT over 6.5 (+100)

Padres / Cubs over 11 (-105)


Yea i know the Padres are starting Musgrove, but the wind is still blowing out in Chicago. As we have seen how bad the Cubs have been the last week. Padres -1.5



 

ORIOLES VS BLUE JAYS

(BAL) TYLER WELLS RHP

-HORRENDOUS NUMBERS VS THIS BLUE JAYS LINEUP: .517 OBP, 1.640 OPS

-THROUGH 6 RELIEF APPEARANCES VS JAYS: 10.8 ERA, 1.8 WHIP, 18.8 K%

-PRETTY SOLID THUS FAR, WORSE ON THE RD: 4.8 ERA, .290 OBP, .734 OPS, .316 WOBA, 1.2 HR/9, 1.2 WHIP, .276 BABIP

-TO SEE A TON OF RHB TOMORROW

-WORSE VS RHB: .303 OBP, .723 OPS, .314 WOBA, 1.23 HR/9, 13 K%, 6.5 BB%, 1.26 WHIP, .263 BABIP

-TORONTO FIRST IN ALL CATEGORIES VS RHP (L3W)

-L9 STARTING RHP VS BLUE JAYS: 7.35, 1.83

(TOR) KEVIN GAUSMAN RHP

-VERY LITTLE EXPERIENCE VS BAL LINEUP: 25 PA, .172 OBP, .384 OPS

-ODOR IS 6-15 W/ 3 DOUBLES

-HAS BEEN WORSE AT HOME THUS FAR: 3.69, .316 OBP, .743 OPS, .321 WOBA, 0.57 HR/9, 15.7 K%, 2.2 BB%, 1.36 WHIP, .396 BABIP

-4/9 LINEUP ARE LHB, 5/9 ARE RHB

-WORSE VS RHB: .325 OBP, .713 OPS, .313 WOBA, 0.24 HR/9, 30 K%, 1.41 WHIP, .423 BABIP

-STARTING RHP VS BAL (JUNE): 23RD OBP, 15TH OPS, 17TH WOBA, 15TH WRC+, 25TH K%, 8TH BB5

-L7 STARTING RHP VS ORIOLES: 5.26 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, 37.67, 12 HR



Orioles / Bluejays over 8.5 (-115)

Orioles bats are hot, and Gausman has been suspect for his last few times out. I think we see some runs for both teams and the Orioles to keep it close.


 

GUARDIANS VS ROCKIES

(CLE) TRISTON MCKENZIE (RHP)

-FIRST NOTE IS THAT HE HAS ALLOWED 10 HR IN HIS L5 GAMES, THAT’S MIGHTY CONCERNING WHEN YOU’RE PLAYING AT COORS FIELD

-SLIGHTLY WORSE OM THE ROAD: 3.21 ERA, 1.7 HR/9

-7/9 OF COL LINEUP ARE RHB

-WORSE VS RHB: .265 OBP, .694 OPS, .302 WOBA, 1.6 HR/9, 0.97 WHIP, .218 BABIP

-COL VS RHP (JUNE): 18TH OBP, 21ST OPS, 20TH WOBA, 27TH WRC+, 27TH K%, 23RD BB%

-L7 STARTING RHP VS COL: 3.69 ERA, 1.51 WHIP, 29.2 K%


(COL) CHAD KUHL RHP

-VERY LITTLE EXPERIENCE VS CLE (NAYLOR/RAMIREZ/ROSARIO): 7PA, .000 OPS

-PREV START VS CLEVELAND (2021): 6IP, 4H, 1ER, 2 WALKS, 4K

-HARD TO CAP, BECAUSE HE’S SO UP AND DOWN

-BETTER AT HOME THUS FAR: 3.22 ERA, .273 OBP, .678 OPS, .295 WOBA, 1.21 HR/9, 12.5 K%, 4.5 BB%, 1.07 WHIP, .243 BABIP

-5/9 OF LINEUP ARE RHB, 4/9 ARE LHB FOR CLE

-WORSE VS LHB: .338 OBP, .797 OPS, .346 WOBA, 1.13 HR/9, 15.5 K%, 12.7 BB%, 1.5 WHIP, .265 BABIP

-STARTING RHP VS CLE (JUNE): 13TH OBP, 12TH OPS, 14TH WOBA, 13TH WRC+, 1ST K%, 14TH BB%

-L7 STARTING RHP VS GUARDIANS: 5.17 ERA, 1.41 WHIP


The Cleveland bullpen is a little taxed, I think the Rockies should be able to get to 6 today. Good weather, and we have seen McKenzie be very up and down.


 

Oakland F5 ML (+130)

Oakland F5 TT over 2.5 (+130)

Padres TT over 6.5 (+100)

Padres / Cubs over 11 (-105)

Orioles / Bluejays over 8.5 (-115)

Rockies TT over 5.5 (+100)


( playing these all small like a half unit)




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