MLB FREE PLAYS JUNE 5th
Here are my leans for the day guys.
As I have said in the past, Sundays in the MLB is a get away day, and turns the handi-capping into a coin flip more times than not. I bet very small.
I WILL HAVE A POST FOR SUNDAY NIGHT BASEBALL LATER TODAY!
Pirates vs Dbacks
(ARI) ZAC GALLEN RHP
-W/ THE EXCEPTION OF A SHITPUMPING BY KC, HAS BEEN EXCELLENT THIS YEAR
-ON THE ROAD: 1.76 ERA, .262 OBP, .466 OPS, .225 wOBA, 18K%, 6.6 BB%, 0.85 WHIP
-HAS BEEN ABSURDLY GOOD VS LHB: .134 OBA, .184 OBP, .232 SLG, .188 wOBA, 20.7 K%, 4.6 BB%, 0.63 WHIP, .159 BABIP
-IMPORTANT TO KNOW SINCE 6/9 OF LINEUP FOR PIT WILL BE LHB
-HAS BEEN LIGHTS OUT DURING THE DAY: 3 STARTS: 0.00 ERA, .215 OBP, .398 OPS, 16.9 K-BB%, 0.71 WHIP
-PIT VS RHP (L2W): 22ND OBA, 14TH OBP, 16TH OPS, wOBA, 18TH WRC+, 20TH K%, 3RD BB%
-L6 STARTING RHP VS PIRATES: 3.11 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 25K%
(ARI) ZACH THOMPSON (RHP)
-STARTED OFF THE SEASON LIKE DOG SHIT IN APRIL: 10.05 ERA, 2.23 WHIP, 11.6 B%
-BUT HAS BEEN DAMN GOOD IN MAY: 2.45 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 5.8 BB%
-HAS BEEN MUCH BETTER VS LHB: .296 OBP, .643 OPS, .288 wOBA, 0.98 HR/9, 8.6 K-BB%, 1.25 WHIP, .246 BABIP
-IMPORTANT TO KNOW SINCE 8/9 OF DIAMONDBACKS GO TO LINEUP ARE LHB
-DIAMONDBACKS VS RHP ON RD: 14TH OBP, 4TH OPS, wOBA, WRC+, 24TH K%, 10TH BB%
-L5 STARTING RHP VS DIAMONDBACKS: 4.32 ERA, 1.4 WHIP, 25.2K%
Toast Pick: Dbacks F5 -.5 (+100), Dbacks ML (-148)
ANGELS VS PHILLIES
(LAA) PATRICK SANDOVAL RHP
-LOOKED UNTOUCHABLE IN APRIL: 0.00 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 15K%
-BUT HAS SHOWN SOME FLAWS IN MAY: 4.13 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, 17.6 K%
-GOT LIT UP IN HIS LAST START VS TORONTO: 3IP, 5H, 6ER, 3BB, 4K
-GODLY VS LHB: .212 OBP, .315 OPS, 20.6 K-BB%, 0.67 WHIP
-WEAKER VS RHB: .331 OBP, .618 OPS, 9.9 K-BB%, 1.43 WHIP, .314 BABIP
-YET TO ALLOW A HOME RUN THRU 43.1 IP
-FACING 4/9 LHB AND 5/9 RHB IN PHILLIES LINEUP (MOST LIKELY)
-PHILLIES VS LHP (L3W): 15TH OBP, 10TH OPS, wOBA, 13TH WRC+, 21ST K%, 10TH BB%
-L7 STARTING LHP VS PHI: 6.03 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 20.3 K%
(PHI) KYLE GIBSON RHP
-VS ANGELS CURRENT LINEUP: 38 AB, .423 OBA, .625 OBP, 1.253 OPS, 13.7 K%
-L2 STARTS VS ANGELS (2020): 11.17 ERA, 2.27 WHIP, 14K%
-MUCH BETTER AT HOME: .239 OBP, .557 OPS, .247 wOBA, 22.1 K-BB%, 0.82 WHIP
-5/9 OF LAA LINEUP ARE LHB
-PRETTY GOOD VS LHB: .301 OBP, .578 OPS, .268 wOBA, 3.2 K-BB%, 1.15 WHIP
-BUT VOLATILE VS RHB: .300 OBP, .721 OPS, 23.8 K-BB%, 1.24 WHIP, 1.44 HR/9
-LAA VS RHP ON RD (L3W): 20TH OBP, 23RD OPS, wOBA, WRC+, 26TH K%, 13TH BB%
-L6 STARTING RHP VS LAA: 3.05 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 26.2 K%
Toast pick: Phillies F5-.5 (+120)
TWINS VS BLUE JAYS
(MIN) DEVIN SMELTZER (LHP)
-HAS BEEN EXCELLENT THIS YEAR
-1.50 ERA, 0.83 WHIP, 9.1 K-BB%, 0.00 HR/9, .222 BABIP, .227 OBP, .492 OPS
-LHB HAVE BEEN GETTING TO HIM: .316 OBP, .705 OPS, 0 K-BB%, 1.29 WHIP
-ZERO EXPERIENCE VS TORONTO
-TORONTO VS LHP (L30): 1ST OBP, 8TH OPS, 7th wOBA, WRC+, 7TH K%, 1ST BB%
-L6 STARTING LHP VS TOR: 3.96 ERA, 1.56 WHIP, 16.8 K%
(TOR) KEVIN GAUSMAN RHP
–34 AB VS TWINS CURRENT LINEUP: .215 OBP, .454 OPS, 22.8 K%
-THIS YEAR: .250 OBA, .266 OBP, .331 SLG, .597 OPS, 2.51 ERA, 26.2 K-BB%, 1.07 WHIP
-DOMINATING LHB: .193 OBP, .445 OPS, .194 wOBA, 22 K-BB%, 0.69 WHIP, .232 BABIP
-NOT SO MUCH VS RHB: .326 OBP, .721 OPS, .317 wOBA, 29.6 K-BB%, 1.43 WHIP, .452 BABIP
-MIN VS RHP (L2W): 10TH OBP, 13TH OPS, wOBA, 11TH WRC+, 22ND K%, 9TH BB%
-L7 STARTING RHP VS TWINS: 6.93 ERA, 1.54 WHIP, 25.6 K%
Toast Pick: Twins / Jays over 8.5 (-110), Twins +1.5 (+100)
NATIONALS VS REDS
(WSN) PATRICK CORBIN LHP
–VS REDS LINEUP: .211 OBA, .251 OBP, .222 SLG, .474 OPS, 26 K%
-PREV START VS REDS (2021): 6.2 IP, 4H, 4BB, 0ER, 7K
-GETTING SHMURDERED ON THE ROAD
-8.17 ERA, .396 OBP, .878 OPS, 7.8 K-BB%, 1.97 WHIP, .392 BABIP
-VS LHB: 2.36 WHIP, -1.7 K-BB%, .872 OPS
-VS RHB: 1.64 WHIP, 12.4 K-BB%, .855 OPS
-CIN VS LHP (L2W): 10TH OBP, 8TH OPS, 7TH wOBA, 10TH WRC+, 14TH K%, 5TH BB%
-L5 STARTING LHP VS REDS: 7.04 ERA, 1.52 WHIP, 21.2 K%
(CIN) LUIS CASTILLO RHP
–VS CURRENT LINEUP: .257 OBA, .301 OBP, .480 SLG, .780 OPS, 21.1 K%
-PREV STARTS VS NATS: 6IP, 6H, 2ER, 3BB, 6K
-5 STARTS THUS FAR AND HE’S BEEN BETTER THAN EXPECTED: 3.38 ERA, .257 OBP, .577 OPS, 1.02 WHIP
-LAST START VS BOSTON: 6IP, 1H, 3BB, 10K
-GETTING CRUSHED BY LHB: .362 OBP, .862 OPS, 1.74 HR/9, 12.8 K-BB%, 1.65 WHIP
-DEADLY VS RHB: .172 OBP, .354 OPS, 24.1 K-BB%, 0.61 WHIP, .183 BABIP, 0 HR/9
-CASTILLO LIKELY TO FACE 6 LHB TODAY
-WSN VS RHP (L2W): 11TH OBP, 12TH OPS, wOBA, 13TH WRC+, 3RD K%, 18TH BB%
-L4 STARTING RHP VS NATIONALS: 1.56 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 17.8K%
Toast Pick : Nats / Reds over 9.5
WHITE SOX VS RAYS
(CSW) LUCAS GIOLITO RHP
-VS TB CURRENT LINEUP: .198 OBA, .227 OBP, .430 SLG, .657 OPS, 25K%
-1-0 W/ 2.14 ERA, 0.77 WHIP, AND 32.2 K% VS TB IN 5 STARTS
-WORSE ON RD THUS FAR: 4.63 ERA, .337 OBP, 0.82 OPS, 39.6 K%, 10.9 BB%
-5 LHP IN RAYS GO-TO LINEUP VS RHB
-VS LHB: .274 OBP, .551 OPS, .249 wOBA, 30.1 K-BB%, 1.07 WHIP, 0.96 HR/9
-VS RHB: .365 OBP, 0.95 OPS, .407 wOBA, 19.2 K-BB%, 1.61 WHIP, 2.28 HR/9
-PHOENOMINAL DURING TWO DAY STARTS: 1.13 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 16.87 K/9
TBR VS RHP (L2W): 29TH OBP, 28TH OPS, wOBA, 26TH WRC+, 10TH BB%, 5TH K%
-L7 STARTING RHP VS RAYS: 2.28 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, 30.6 K%
(TBR) RYAN YARBOROUGH LHP
-VS WHITE SOX CURRENT LINEUP: .242 OBA, .310 OBP, .317 SLG, .627 OPS, 19.5 K%
-3 APPEARANCES VS CSW: 18IP, 5.09 ERA, 21.6 K%, 1.24 WHIP
-PREV START (2021): 6.1 IP, 10H, 5ER, 1BB, 5K,
INTERESTING START TO THE YEAR: 4.3 ERA, .330 OBP, .702 OPS, 8 K-BB%, 1.17 HR/9, 1.22 WHIP, .250 BABIP
-HAS BEEN BETTER AT HOME: 3.00 ERA, .263 OBP, .392 OPS, .205 wOBA, 7.9 K-BB%, 0.89 WHIP, .160 BABIP
-NOT MUCH IN TERMS OF LHB/RHB SPLITS
-CHW VS LHP (L3W): 21ST OBP, 8TH OPS, wOBA, WRC+, 24TH K%, 30TH BB%
L4 STARTING LHP VS WHITE SOX: 4.05 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 25K%
Toast Pick: Rays ML (+100)
PADRES VS BREWERS
(SDP) MIKE CLEVINGER RHP
-WILL BE HIS FIRST START SINCE 5/17
-LEADING UP TO THAT POINT: 3 GM, 3.21 ERA, .204 OBA, .271 OBP, .278SLG, .549 OPS, 16.9 K-BB%, 1.14 WHIP
-DOING VERY WELL VS RHP: .154 OBA, .214 OBP, .406 OPS, 14.3 K-BB%, 0.86 WHIP
-VS LHB: .250 OBA, .323 OBP, 0.68 OPS, 19.4 K-BB%, 1.43 WHIP, 1.29 HR/9, .333 BABIP
-L2W VS RHP: 24TH OBP, 21ST OPS, 20TH wOBA, 21ST WRC+, 15TH K%, 23RD BB%
-L5 STARTING RHP VS BREWERS: 3.06 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 18.33K%
(MIL) ERIC LAUER LHP
-VS PADRES CURRENT LINEUP: 19AB, .143 OBA, OBP, SLG, .286 OPS, 5K%
-ONLY START: 6IP, 4H, 1BB, 1ER, 6K
-LIGHTS OUT AT HOME THUS FAR: 0.90 ERA, .237 OBP, .566 OPS, .250 wOBA, 25K%, 0.85 WHIP
-SHOULD FACE 4 LHB AND 5 RHB TODAY
-VS LHB: .222 OBP, .542 OPS, 25.9 K-BB%, 0.86 WHIP, .200 BABIP
VS RHB: .285 OBP, .692 OPS, 21.5 K-BB%, 1.12 WHIP, .271 BABIP
-SDP VS LHP (L3W): 8TH OBP, 16TH OPS, wOBA, 14TH WRC+, 16TH K%, 5TH BB%
-L8 STARTING LHP VS PADRES: 4.58 ERA, 1.63 WHIP, 22 K%
Toast Pick: Padres / Brewers over 7.5 , Padres ML (+110)
ASTROS VS ROYALS
(HOU) FRAMBER VALDEZ LHP
-VS ROYALS LINEUP: .276 OBA, .310 OBP, .389 SLG, .699 OPS, 14.7 K%
-PREV START VS KC (2021): 6.2 IP, 9H, 3ER, 1BB, 5K
-VALDEZ HAS BEEN LIGHTS OUT ON THE ROAD
-1.40 ERA, .145 OBA, .248 OBP, .431 OPS, .211 wOBA, 19.5K%, 10.1 BB%, 0.88 WHIP, .178 BABIP
-NO SIGNIFICANT LHB/RHB SPLITS
-KCR VS LHP (L3W): 26TH OBP, OPS, 25TH wOBA, 26TH WRC+, 14TH K%, 17TH BB%
-L11 STARTING LHP VS ROYALS: 2.08 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 17K%
(KCR) JOHNATHAN HEASLEY (RHP)
-THROUGH 4 STARTS: 4.66 ERA, .250 OBA, .389 OBP, .833 OPS, 11.1 K%, 17.8 BB%, 1.76 WHIP
-GETTING PIECED BY LHB: .256 OBA, .396 OBP, 0.960 OPS, .413 wOBA, 2.7 HR/9, 1.9 WHIP, -4.2 K-BB%
-HOU L2W VS RHP: 21ST OBP, 25TH OPS, wOBA, 22ND WRC+, 4TH K%, 19TH BB%
L6 STARTING RHP VS ASTROS: 3.72 ERA , 1.11 WHIP, 17.6 K%
Toast Pick: Astros TT over 5.5 (-115)
MARINERS VS RANGERS
(SEA) GEORGE KIRBY RHP
-ROOKIE YEAR
-THROUGH 5 STARTS: 3.46 ERA, .265 OBA, .287 OBP, .441 SLG, .728 OPS
-GETTING ROCKED BY RHB: .304 OBA, .360 OBP, .925 OPS, .398 wOBA, 16 K-BB%, 1.5 WHIP, 1.59 HR/9, .364 BABIP
-BUT QUITE GOOD VS LHB: .232 OBA, .224 OBP, .563 OPS, .240 wOBA, 29.3 K-BB%, 0.89 WHIP, .300 BABIP, 0.61 HR/9
-4/9 OF TEX LINEUP ARE LHB, 5/9 ARE RHB
-TEX VS RHP (L2W): 19TH OBP, 15TH OPS, wOBA, WRC+, 27TH K%, 28TH BB%
-L9 STARTING RHP VS RANGERS: 2.54 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 28.3 K%
(TEX) MARTIN PEREZ RHP
-HAS BEEN PHOENOMINAL THIS YEAR: 1.42 ERA, .200 OBA, .253 OBP, .253 SLG, .506 OPS, 14.5 K-BB%, 0.93 WHIP, 0 HR/9
-SAMPLE SIZE IS SMALL, BUT HAS DONE WELL VS SEA LINEUP
-16 TBF, .067 OBA, .367 OBP, ..100 SLG, .467 OPS, 25K%
-SLIGHTLY WORSE VS LHB: .289 OBA, .333 OBP, .333 SLG, .666 OPS, .300 wOBA, 8.3 K-BB%, 1.5 WHIP, .342 BABIP
-SEA VS RHP (L3W): 8TH OBP, 11TH OPS, wOBA, 6TH WRC+, 17TH K%, 13TH BB%
-L8 STARTING RHP VS MARINERS: 5.67 ERA, 1.56 WHIP, 20.4 K%
Toast Pick : Mariners / Rangers under 7.5 (+100),Mariners ML (+110)
Red Sox(+102) / Athletics (-120)
Yes Oakland has Montas on the mound, but the Red Sox are rolling right now, at + money is is a easy decision.