Early MLB Free Plays June 11

Couple early games to get the day started.


 

(TBR) SHANE BAZ RHP

-SET TO MAKE HIS SEASON DEBUT AND BOY DOES HE HAVE A TOUGH TASK AGAINST A ROLLING MINNESOTA TEAM

-4 STARTS LAST YEAR VS BOS, NYY, MIA, TOR: 2.03 ERA, 2.03 HR/9, .120 BABIP, 36.7 K%, 6.1 BB%, 0.68 WHIP

-ABSOLUTELY NUTS VS RHB: .097 OBP, .364 OPS, .152 wOBA, 38.7 K%, 3.2 BB%, 0.32 WHIP, .000 BABIP




Toast Pick: Rays / Twins over 8.5 (-115)

Going to go back to the over in Minnesota. Both teams should be able to score runs against the pitchers, plus the weather is good.


 

Game 2: RANGERS VS WHITE SOX

(TEX) MARTIN PEREZ RHP

-NOT VERY GOOD NUMBERS VS WHITE SOX: .427 OBP, .965 OPS, 18.1 K%

-L5 GAMES VS WHITE SOX: 7.27 ERA, 1.65 WHIP, 15 K%

-PREV START VS CHW (2021): 3.2 IP, 7H, 4ER, 1HR, 1 WALK, 4K

-HAS BEEN NEARLY FLAWLESS ON THE ROAD: 0.31 ERA, .248 OBP, .475 OPS, .220 woba, 18.9K%, 7.5 BB%, 0.90 WHIP, .231 BABIP

-MOST LIKELY GONNA SEE 9 RHB TOMORROW

-VS RHB: .257 OBP, .520 OPS, .238 wOBA, 21.9 K%, 6BB%, 0.92 WHIP, .252 BABIP

-CHW VS LHP (L3W): 6TH OBP, 4TH OPS, wOBA, WRC+, 16TH K%, 25TH BB%

-L6 STARTING LHP VS CHW: 6.93 ERA, 1.46 WHIP



(CSW) LUCAS GIOLITO RHP

-INSANELY GOOD NUMBERS VS TEX CURRENT LINEUP (SEMIEN, MILLER, LOWE, GARCIA, CALHOUN): 29TBF, .102 OBP, .287 OPS, 44.8 K%

-PREV START VS TEX: 5.1 IP, 6H, 1ER, 1BB, 4K

-MUCH BETTER AT HOME: 2.37 ERA, .316 OBP, .745 OPS, .323 wOBA

-1.42 HR/9, 25 K%, 7.9 BB%, 1.26 WHIP, .313 BABIP

-6/9 OF TEX BATS ARE LHB, THANKFULLY FOR GIO, HE’S BEEN MUCH BETTER VS LHB

-VS LHB: .280 OBP, .564 OPS, .254 wOBA, 0.89 HR/9, 40.2 K%, 9.8 BB%, 1.13 WHIP, .33 BABIP

-TEX AIN’T DOING TOO HOT VS RHP (L3W): 27TH OBP, 23RD OPS, 25TH wOBA, 22ND WRC+, 26TH K%, 29TH BB%

-L6 STARTING RHP VS TEX: 2.01 ERA, 0.83 WHIP


Toast Pick: White Sox F5 -.5 (-104)

Rangers F5 TT under 1.5 (+105)

Beaver has Gio should shove today and I think so as well. Perez has been great this year, but Gio is a stud as well, and pithes much better at home.


 

Game 3: REDS VS CARDINALS

(CIN) HUNTER GREENE RHP

-BUDDY COOKED IN HIS LAST START VS ARI: 7IP, 1H, 0BB, 8K

-HARD TO PREDICT WHEN HE GETS LIT UP, BUT WHEN HE DOES ITS BAD

-VS STL (4/22): 3.1 IP, 4H, 3ER, 4BB, 3K

-WORSE ON THE RD: .314 OBP, .857 OPS, .367 wOBA, 32 K%, 9.2 BB%, 1.4 WHIP, .291 BABIP

-5/9 OF STL LINEUP ARE RHB, 4/9 LHB

-NOT DOING TOO HOT VS RHB: .347 OBP, .971 OPS, .412 wOBA, 3.81 HR/9, 26.4 K%, 8.3 BB%, 1.58 WHIP, .299 BABIP

-STL VS RHP (L3W): 12TH OBP, OPS, WOBA, WRC+, 9TH K%, 15TH BB%

-L7 STARTING RHP VS CARDINALS: 6.23 ERA, 1.41 WHIP



(STL) ADAM WAINWRIGHT (RHP)

-VS CURRENT CIN LINEUP: .320 OBP, .799 OPS, 15.4 K%

-L3 STARTS VS REDS (21/22): 7.98 ERA, 2.05 WHIP, 11.4 K%

-MUCH BETTER NUMBERS AT HOME THUS FAR: 2.4 ERA, .277 OBP, .595 OPS, .268 wOBA, 0.6 HR/9, 22.7 K%, 7.6 BB%, 1.1 WHIP, .272 BABIP

-7/9 OF CIN LINEUP ARE RHB

- VS RHB: .296 OBP, .670 OPS, .295 wOBA, 0.94 HR/9, 20K%, 6.1 BB%, 1.19 WHIP, .293 BABIP

- CIN LOSES IT’S LUST VS RHP ON THE ROAD: (L4W): 26TH OBP, 27TH OPS, WOBA, WRC+, 3RD K%, 21ST BB%

-L7 STARTING RHP AT HOME VS CIN: 0.81 ERA, 0.88 WHIP



Toast Pick: Cardinals -1.5 (+115)

I usually do no play the home team on the RL, but the Reds are so bad right now, it is worth a half unit.


 

Early MLB VIP June 11


Rays / Twins over 8.5 (-115)

White Sox F5 -.5 (-104)

Rangers F5 TT under 1.5 (+105)

Cardinals -1.5 (+115)



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