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MLB Bets Sunday 8/13

We're up about 2 units on the week... let's close it out with a winning Sunday.

 

TIGERS @ RED SOX 12:05 PM

 

UNDER 9

Still pissed about Boston yesterday. How do you not score runs on Matt Manning? This is supposed to be a lineup that can hit righties.


Well, it's obvious that I can't trust the Red Sox bats right now... and today, they see a good lefty in Eduardo Rodriguez. I expect Boston's lineup to struggle today.


On the other side... the Red Sox have Kutter Crawford pitching... he's had some problems at home in Fenway this year... but overall, he's been solid recently. He should deal against the Tigers lineup.


Both bullpens are in pretty good shape... 9 is too high, in my opinion.

 

TWINS @ PHILLIES 1:35 PM

 

UNDER 9

I wanna go right back to the Twins again after last night... they have another righty on the mound in Sonny Gray. You guys already know how I feel about the Phillies lineup against RHP... I think it's wildly over-valued.


But the Phillies have Ranger Suarez pitching and there's just no way I can back the Twins against a lefty right now without Buxton in the lineup... it's just too unreliable.


Both bullpens have their main arms... under.

 

ATHLETICS @ NATIONALS 1:35 PM

 

PASS

No.

 

CUBS @ BLUE JAYS 1:37 PM

 

CUBS ML

I don't need to explain the reasoning for an under in a Toronto Blue Jays game right now. The under is 7-2 in their L9 games. The Jays bats are so unreliable. Jameson Taillon's been way better than you think recently. In his L6 starts, he's got a 2.17 ERA and a 3.51 FIP. He should have no problem with this lineup.


Even with the Cubs bullpen possibly missing a couple pieces... I still don't trust the Blue Jays bats.

Cubs lineup isn't producing like last week... they're still scoring... but averaging under 4 runs a game in their last 5... definitely a step backwards... but still, a huge offensive advantage for the Cubs. At plus money... gotta take em.

 

YANKEES @ MARLINS 1:40 PM

 

YANKEES OR UNDER

I'm gonna continue to fade the Marlins bats... yeah, I took a loss last night... but the Fish only scored 3 runs so it's not like my theory of Miami's offense being trash was proven wrong. With Gerrit Cole pitching... dominant righty... off the bat, I'm either betting Yankees or under. Eury Perez didn't look great in his first start back... I think the Yankees can score a few runs on him.

 

GUARDIANS @ RAYS 1:40 PM

 

GUARDIANS OR PASS

I refuse to bet Tampa Bay at that price.

 

ANGELS @ ASTROS 2:10 PM

 

ASTROS -1.5

Angels now have a righty on the mound after throwing back to back lefties against Houston and getting smashed both times. Chase Silseth's been pretty good, too... could he catch the Astros lineup off-guard? Possibly I guess...


But this lineup is too hot... even if they don't get to Silseth, (doubtful), they should still rock the Angels bullpen. Jose Urquidy got hammered in his first start back... hopefully back home, he can take a step big step forward. This is a smaller bet.

 

BREWERS @ WHITE SOX 2:10 PM

 

WHITE SOX F5 ML

I WILL NOT TOUCH THE WHITE SOX BULLPEN. But at home... F5 Dylan Cease against Freddy Peralta? I can get down with that. Freddy hasn't had his best season and the White Sox bats have shown life recently.

 

RANGERS @ GIANTS 4:05 PM

 

RANGERS TT Un3.5

Logan Webb at home is dynamite... Giants bullpen is one of the best in baseball and they have all 3 of their main arms. The whole world's betting Texas and the oddsmakers still have Giants as -140 favorites... haven't moved the line a muscle.

 

ORIOLES @ MARINERS 4:10 PM

 

MARINERS ML

SEA TT Ov3.5

F5 OVER 4.5

Back to betting the Mariners blindly. I bet Baltimore last night cuz I thought Cole Irvin being a lefty would catch Seattle's lineup off-guard a bit. Kyle Bradish is good... but he's a righty. I expect the Mariners bats to get back on track.


I'm a little worried about Bryce Miller against this Orioles lineup. He's got ugly looking splits against LHB's... and Baltimore's lineup is loaded with em. O's will have 6 lefties in the lineup today including the first 4 batters. I expect both starters to get scored on.


But in the 2nd half of the game... the edge goes to Seattle for me. Baltimore's bullpen is way more taxed and in my opinion... isn't nearly as reliable as Seattle's.

 

ROCKIES @ DODGERS 4:10 PM

 

PASS

-345 price is just nuts.

 

PADRES @ DIAMONDBACKS 4:10 PM

 

PADRES ML

No description needed. Auto-fading the Diamondbacks has been very profitable.

 

BRAVES @ METS 7:10 PM

 

BRAVES ML

I wanna take the Mets... cuz it's Sunday Night Baseball and I wanna root for my favorite team on the big stage... but I also am trying to win money. It's super public... crazy square bet here... but I can't get behind the Mets bullpen against Atlanta right now.

 

TOP BETS

AUGUST 13

 

MARINERS ML (-105)

*BET365*

YANKEES ML (-120)

*BET365*

PADRES ML (-135)

*DRAFTKINGS*

 

MLB TICKET

AUGUST 13

 

DET/BOS U9.5 (-110) | .5u

MIN/PHI U8.5 (-102) | .5u

*DRAFTKINGS*

CHC ML (+104) | .75u

*FANDUEL*

NYY ML (-120) | 1u

*BET365*

HOU -1.5 (+146) | .5u

*FANDUEL*

CWS F5 ML (+110) | .5u

*BETMGM*

TEX TT Un3.5 (-105) | .5u

*CEASARS*

SEA ML (-105) | 1u

*BET365*

SEA TT Ov3.5 (-125) | .5u

*BARSTOOL*

BAL/SEA F5 O4.5 (-105) | .5u

SD ML (-135) | 1u

*DRAFTKINGS*

ATL ML (-130) | .75u

*POINTSBET*

 

PARLAY OF THE DAY

AUGUST 13

 

CUBS ML

MARINERS ML

BRAVES ML

+588

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