WHAT ARE WE BETTING?
Everything we saw in Game 3 is SCREAMING at us to bet Milwaukee. If Ayton gets into foul trouble... Phoenix is gonna to get scored on relentlessly... BUT... here's my thought process... It's not that I'm sitting here claiming the Suns are going to make a miraculous defensive adjustment and shut down Milwaukee.
What I'm saying... is that Phoenix is going to take away the fast break, (as best they can)... And they're gonna do this by protecting the basketball and converting on their high percentage shots. This is something they were the best in the NBA at this season, by the way... 2PT FG%.... Phoenix #1 in the NBA this year.
The Suns may have some problems on defense... keeping Ayton out of foul trouble... keeping Crowder out of foul trouble... that's a tall task. BUT... if Phoenix cuts out these extra staggered screens they've been running... and go back to bread and butter run and gun... BEST BALL MOVEMENT IN THE NBA... if it ain't broke... don't fix it.
I'M DOING IT! I'm taking Giannis U52.5 PRA... I like Middleton to go off tonight... I think Phoenix finds a way to get Giannis on a couple of those offensive fouls... throws him off his groove. I'm also gonna play C Paul O8.5 AST even though I think it's a sucker's bet. I know Khris Middleton hasn't been scoring in bunches... so why is his point total all the way up at 24.5? cuz he's about to hit it that why... I'll take Middleton O24.5 PTS. I'm also gonna but Suns 1H ML for the win!
I'm not sure what kind of adjustments Monty Williams can make to slow down Milwaukee's offense... BUT... I do think the Suns offense will turn up. I'm going with the OVER.
SUNS +4.5 (-110) | 1 UNIT
SUNS 1H ML (+138) | .5 UNIT
GIANNIS U52.5 PRA (-107) | .5 UNIT
C PAUL O8.5 AST (-127) | .5 UNIT
MIDDLETON O24.5 PTS (-113) | .5 UNIT
1Q OVER 54.5 (-114) | .5 UNIT
1H OVER 108 (-114) | .5 UNIT
OVER 220.5 (-110) | .75 UNIT